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| Canada | Cases | Deaths | Cured | Active |
| Reported: | 4,964,630 | 60,362 1.2% CFR | 4,878,112 | 26,156 |
| Estimate: | 27,454,404 | 78,470 *0.29% IFR | 26,975,959 | 144,643 |
*Inferred IFR is an estimate only. The actual COVID-19 IFR may not be accurately calculated for the entire human race until long after the pandemic has ended.
The total actual number of infections in Canada including all the untested, unreported, asymptomatic infections is likely greater than 27,454,404 (66.04% of the population) including mild and asymptomatic cases. That would mean the estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate: (IFR) is likely around 0.29%
79,618 (0.29% IFR) is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths (based on the inferred IFR) including those deaths unreported as COVID-19). The IHME estimates excess deaths in Canada to reach much higher than CSPaC estimates.
See The Lancet estimate of excess mortality from COVID-19 (Download PDF) in 191 countries/territories and 252 subnational units of select countries, from 1 January 2 0 2 0, to 31 December 2 0 2 1.
78470 Is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths based on a modified universal algorithm which factors more sophisticated public health infrastructure and also fewer available urgent care beds and facilities which is a problem in much of Canada in an emergency measures context.
The closeness of the two numbers derived from unique data and methods suggests their high probability. The blended data of three projections from three different biostatistician labs also confirms the estimates +/- .01%.
It is safe to say that Canadians have endured the grief of losing 78470 family members. Every number has a face. May their memory be forever a blessing to their families and friends.
Canada and the USA have Infection Fatality Rates close to global averages but since vaccine booster-rates have dropped, CFR in both countrioes is climbing slightly above global averages. (influenza has an IFR of .1% or 6 per 100k (2019)).
"Hospitalizations in Canada rose rapidly in December 2023 and in early January 2024, then by 23 January 2024, a rapid decline brought hospitalizations back to November levels which were far too high. As of 23 January 2024, Canada stopped most COVID-19 reporting at a time when hospitalizations were very high.
"Unfortunately, with the volume of COVID-19 infections still high, the probability of there emerging another fast spreading but more deadly mutation is possible because of the massive numbers of unvaccinated/unboosted around the world," said Dr. Harris. "That is why getting vaccinated and boosted plus wearing N95 or equivalent respirator masks when around other people in any context, is crucial to stopping the spread. It must be stopped in order to prevent the virus from mutating further," he added.
Read if you wish: Should Women seek better COVID Vaccines for their families? Sat, 18 Jun 2022 03:24:42 GMT"
Also: WHO warns of now spiking COVID-19 regional outbreaks. Wed, 15 Jun 2022 05:35:18 GMT
| Canada | Cases | Deaths | Cured | Active |
| Reported: | 4,964,630 | 60,362 1.2% CFR | 4,878,112 | 26,156 |
| Estimate: | 27,454,404 | 78,470 *0.29% IFR | 26,975,959 | 144,643 |
In Quebec 18219 died In Ontario 16234 died In Alberta 5622 died In British Columbia 5249 died In Manitoba 2464 died In Saskatchewan 1890 died In New Brunswick 834 died In Nova Scotia 794 died In Newfoundland & Labrador 318 died In PEI 94 died In Yukon 32 died In NWT 22 died In Nunavut 7 died
From the current American experience scientists are learning that for persons who are not vaccinated, the only safe indoor places are in the home, if they make it safe by cleaning all touched surfaces at least every day and after the entry of any person of the household. No other persons must enter the home of non-vaccinated persons. (Get vacinated.) Nobody should come and go for any reason except an emergency. If a person must leave the home for an errand, they must wear a full set of respiratory PPE. That includes a respirator mask, goggles, gloves, and only if you wish, a properly fitted, certified medical grade face shield, otherwise don't bother because fake medical shields are dangerous. It must be sealed with a foam strip at the forehead otherwise it is a scoop for potentially infected air to flow past the eyes and nose.
Upon returning home, say from a shopping trip, "do not touch anything but go to a designated area in an unused area of your home or at least one that can easily be cleaned thoroughly", say doctors and infectious disease researchers.
Keeping gloves on, remove all facial PPE by the strings.
"Remove gloves by peeling off the right glove using the gloved left hand and hold it with the gloved fingers, then inserting the right hand fingers under the cuff of the left glove peeling it over the fingers clasping the right glove. Do not touch the outside of the glove with bare hands. Discard the gloves or drop them into hot soapy water if reusable. Do not touch your face. Next perform hand hygiene and remove clothing . Clothing should go into the wash immediately. Shower immediately using plenty of ordinary soap that lathers. Welcome home. Wash your hands again, despite the shower. Don't touch your face. Wear a mask now for at least seven days while at home unless you have your own room, then wear a mask outside that room or when anyone enters," explains a nurse practitioner working in the COVID-19 Building of Notre Dame hospital in the Philippines.
Watch on YouTube. The Civil Society Solidarity Partners team in Singapore have tracked many deaths from these events on the 17 April 2021 weekend.
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RSAC Health care providers in potential risk environments: Vaccinated or not, the RINJ Medical Director's new protocols for the 'new normal' say wear certified medical grade PPE including an FFP respirator such as an N95 or FFP2 plus eye cover such as protective goggles or a medical grade face shield. The new variants expected to be circulating in Canada are more transmissable which means that, a smaller viral load that has been aerosolized and airborne can make you sick.
One thing we know for sure about SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, is that it is changing continually. Since the start of the pandemic, a number of prominent variants, including Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Omicron have emrged. It is fairly certain that more will come.
There is a significant risk that a variant which is as contagious as the Omicron mutation of SARS-CoV-2 coupled with a more aggressive deep-lung infection propensity, like the BA.4 and BA.5 will emerge because of the still high numbers of infections globally in the first quarter of 2023.
There are several lineages designated “Omicron,” including B.1.1.529, BA.1, BA.1.1, BA.2, BA.3, BA.4 and BA.5. The lineage B.1.1.529 includes BA.1 and BA.3; BA.1.1 and BA.2 are categorized separately. Omicron lineages share 39 mutations from the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2, and BA.1 and BA.2 also differ by 28 mutations (Colson, March 2022; Yu, April 2022) — approximately twice as many amino acid differences as those that exist between the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2 and the first four WHO-designated variants of concern (Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta).
As new subvariants of Omicron continue to emerge, the possibility increases that immunological protection from a previous Omicron infection may not protect against a new variant. Preliminary evidence from in vitro studies suggests that immunological protection from BA.1 infection may not protect against BA.4 or BA.5 infection (Khan, May 2022 – preprint, not peer-reviewed; Cao, June 2022)..
Variants and subvariants may account for an increased proportion of new cases for several reasons. Two primary reasons are:
Limited evidence suggests that the comparative increase in cases of BA.5 is due to an increased ability to evade immune system detection compared with other variants and subvariants (European Center for Disease Prevention and Control, May 2022). Epidemiological information about new Omicron subvariants is limited and still emerging.
The lineages BA.1 and BA.1.1, as well as BA.4 and BA.5, experience S-gene target failure: While these viruses are identifiable by PCR, some PCR tests specifically for an S-gene component that fails to be recognized for BA.1 and BA.1.1. This led to these lineages being colloquially termed “stealth” variants; however, S-gene target failure is used as a tool to identify the presence of these lineages specifically.
Within the BA.2 lineage, several subvariants have been identified, including BA.2.12, BA.2.12.1 and BA.2.75. The subvariants BA.2.12 and BA.2.12.1 are estimated to have an approximately 23%-27% growth advantage above the original BA.2 variant (New York State Department of Health, April 2022). At present, there is no evidence suggesting these subvariants cause more severe disease than the original BA.2 lineage, but outcomes after BA.2.12 and BA.2.12.1 infection continue to be monitored. Preliminary evidence about BA.2.75 suggests that, similar to BA.4 and BA.5, its susceptibility to a broad range of monoclonal antibody therapies is reduced (Yamasoba, July 2022 — preprint, not peer-reviewed).
Kei Sato at the University of Tokyo says BA.4, BA.5 and BA.2.12.1 may have evolved to target infection of lung cells, rather than upper respiratory tract tissue making them closer in behaviour to variants like Alpha or Delta. BA.4 and BA.5 may cause more severe disease.
The risk of more dangerous variants is exacerbated by higher numbers of infections. Some anomalous examples of a more dangerous variant may have been noted already and are under study since January 2022---but nothing conclusive. It is also possible that the massive numbers of humans infected by Omicron, likely a high percentage of the human race, could provide elevated immunity levels in the short term that would be sufficient to slow and stop the pandemic, making COVID-19 an endemic disease and Omicron a one-in-a-billion flukish lucky break. Unfortunately, the way viruses work, the worst scenario is the most likely. That is why vaccination is so important. Eventually a vaccine that focusses on a different element of the virus, one that does not change and therefore a vaccine for any variant, will evolve. Such vaccines are under study now. That could be a couple years away. In the meantime, the available vaccines are unequivocally preventing deaths." Follow public health guidelines, the stricter, the better.
Should Women seek better COVID Vaccines for their families? Sat, 18 Jun 2022 03:24:42 GMT"
WHO warns of now spiking COVID-19 regional outbreaks. Wed, 15 Jun 2022 05:35:18 GMT
If we have left a name off the list of a Canadian frontliner who you know died during the course of COVID-19, please accept our apologies and please contact us with the information. Thank you.
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Feminine-Perspective Magazine Publishes content for Civil Society Partners in Solidarity against Disease (CSPAD)